Brief
Ship the full campaign classifier: time-split validation, calibrated model, cost-matrix threshold, decision memo. Deterministic checks then LLM review.
Dataset
Full campaign data + hidden holdout window.
Starter guardrails (88)
- Full pipeline from the m2-l8 skeleton; threshold frozen pre-holdout.
- Memo template: decision, metric table, calibration evidence, risks.
Deterministic checks
Holdout PR-AUC >= 0.70; Brier <= 0.16; temporal split intact; memo complete.
100-pt rubric
- Validation discipline: 20
- Model + calibration quality: 25
- Threshold economics: 20
- Holdout metric bar: 15
- Decision memo: 15
- Reproducibility: 5